PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: >68%
Resolved: Oct 31, 2026, 6:07 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
>68%
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
93%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 11:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
<60%1%
60-62%0%
62-64%0%
>68%99%
66-68%1%
64-66%0%
>68%Won
60-62%Lost
62-64%Lost
64-66%Lost
66-68%Lost
<60%Lost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the range that contains the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 31, 2026.
- An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page.
- Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for the Democratic Party for the specified window, the Democratic Party's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used.
- If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose.