Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast>68% 86%+10.2ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+69.3 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 29, 26, 7:57 AM UTCNov 2, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the range that contains the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026.
- An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page.
- Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for the Democratic Party for the specified window, the Democratic Party's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used.
- If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose.
