Number of Democratic Senate seats after 2026 Midterms?
0.1 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms10d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast47 or more 93.1%+0.1ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 22, 26, 11:39 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Update 2026-10-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Decided based on projections of the news media.
- Independents count toward whichever party they caucus with.