Democratic Senate odds on November 2?
9.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-Off2026 US MidtermsUS PoliticsElection2d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 2:41 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
>68% · —
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Stored reference
>68% 71.2%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
>68% 71.2%Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$81.6K
High liquidityOpen interest
$2.1K
Bid / Ask
— / —
>68%Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 46 minutes ago
LaggingOct 28, 26, 10:25 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · >68%
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the range that contains the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026.
- An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page.
- Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for the Democratic Party for the specified window, the Democratic Party's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used.
- If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose.
