Will there be a serious attempt by the GOP to overturn the election?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElectionGeopolitics2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62.2%
Forecasters
131
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 47 minutes ago
LaggingOct 17, 26, 1:16 AM UTCJan 10, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
This market is to determine if the GOP will make a serious effort to overturn the results of the 2026 elections which are scheduled for Nov 3.
- Examples of a serious attempt would be to send ICE or other federal troops to the polls, an effort to cancel or reschedule the elections, a refusal by the Speaker of The House to seat one more elected officials, a mob attack on The Capital or other significant government building or similar events.
- The "Brooks Brother's riot" in 2000 would be an example of a serious attempt but nuisance lawsuits that did not impact the makeup of the 120th Congress which is scheduled to be seated on Jan 3, 2027 would not.
- This will not resolve until after Congress has been sworn in and at least one session of Congress has been held.
- This is entirely subjective so I will not bet and do not bet on this market if you don't trust me to resolve this fairly.
- Please ask questions before betting if you wish.
