Will Texas Attempt to Split into more than one state in a serious attempt before 2040?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitics13yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 49 minutes ago
LaggingApr 7, 23, 12:02 AM UTCDec 31, 39, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
The state of Texas has long argued it can split into up to 5 states because of a provision from when it joined the US: https://www.smithsonianmag.com/history/more-150-years-texas-has-had-power-secede-itself-180962354/
- Market resolves YES if the Texas government passes a resolution urging the breakup and takes serious steps to initiate the split up.
- Market resolves NO if Texas makes no resolution, or makes a resolution but doesn't attemp to ratify it with the Federal Government.
