Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race? (Polymarket)
PoliticsOne-Off2026 US MidtermsUS PoliticsElection30dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 72%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 27, 26, 1:52 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolves same as Polymarket:
- Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, the Republican party nominee fails to win one or more of the Senate races listed below.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The relevant races are the currently-scheduled United States Senate races in: Alabama, Arkansas, Florida (Special), Idaho, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, West Virginia, and Wyoming.
- Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected.