Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
0.1 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection9d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored reference
Yes 98%
Yes 98%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$17.1K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$2.5K
Bid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Comments
2
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Nov 15, 25, 12:18 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Market depth · Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
The 2026 midterm elections for the US House of Representatives is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republicans hold fewer seats in the House of Representatives for any state that Trump won in the 2024 US presidential election as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Initial seat counts will be based on the composition of the US House of Representatives as of November 2, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- This market's resolution will be solely based on the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives for any state won by Trump in the 2024 Presidential election.
- The loss of particular district seats will not count towards a resolution for this market; only the total number of seats held by the Republican Party in a given state will be considered.