Will Democrats win a 2026 Governor election in a state trump won?
One-OffUS PoliticsElectionPolitics3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 97.5%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 1:26 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketRepublicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?
Manifold MarketsRepublicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?(excluding maine)
Manifold MarketsRepublicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?
Manifold MarketsHow many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolves YES if democrats win a 2026 governor election in any state trump won in 2024.
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $805.6K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt44.1%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $290.1K
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Democrats win a 2026 Governor election in a state trump won??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 98% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Democrats win a 2026 Governor election in a state trump won? resolve?
- Will Democrats win a 2026 Governor election in a state trump won? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Democrats win a 2026 Governor election in a state trump won? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if democrats win a 2026 governor election in any state trump won in 2024.