KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 10 91%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$204
Low liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 2:00 PM UTCDec 15, 26, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which California House Districts will Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms?
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Manifold MarketsWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRules
If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is the named outcome at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harris in 2024, as calculated by The Downballot in its 2024 presidential results by congressional district table, for the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections.
- That list is fixed as of Issuance and identified by state and district number, so later boundary changes and revisions to the 2024 vote totals do NOT add or remove districts.
- A district counts only if the candidate elected there is the nominee of the Democratic Party.
- If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs.
- A candidate elected as an independent or without a party nomination does NOT count, whether or not they caucus with the Democrats.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026??
- Kalshi prices At least 10 at 91% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? resolve?
- How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 15, 2026.
- How is How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is the named outcome at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.