Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
6.7 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS Politics3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 91%
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$766.4
Liquidity
$15.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
2.1% / 3.9%
Spread
1.8 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Feb 11, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 8, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
If the Republican Party loses majority control of the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. House of Representatives
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms??
- Kalshi prices No at 91% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms? resolve?
- Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms? is scheduled to resolve on January 8, 2027.
- How is Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Republican Party loses majority control of the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.