Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms5d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.1%
Forecasters
738
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 8, 25, 6:16 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, following the 2026 United States House of Representatives elections, the Republican Party holds at least 218 seats, thereby securing a majority in the House.
- Conversely, it will resolve to "No" if the Republicans hold fewer than 218 seats.
- The official election results, as reported by the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives, will serve as the primary source for resolution.
- (ballotpedia.org)
- The 2026 midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026, will determine the composition of the 120th United States Congress.