Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastUkraine 40.9%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
31
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleMar 7, 24, 5:06 PM UTCJun 30, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a new country join NATO before 1 January 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRules
On 7th March, Sweden became the 32nd member of NATO.
- Who will be the next country to join NATO?
- The market will resolve to the next country who completes the joining process and formally becomes a NATO member.
- If multiple countries are inducted on the same date I will attempt to resolve this to the first one to formally become a member but if they are inducted at once it will resolve equally to all of them.
- If a country leaves NATO and then joins again, that will count as joining for the purposes of this market.
- Feel free to add more options to the market, but it will only resolve to the name of a country, so an answer like “a country in Asia” will not be selected.