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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Geopolitics
  3. Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

1.1% (24h)One-OffGeopoliticsMiddle East6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 57%+0.0%
Market quality

91 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$1.1K

Liquidity

$26.4K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

56.6% / 56.7%

Spread

0.2%

Tight spread
7d Change

+6.5%

Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Nov 5, 25, 8:24 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes57%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
  • Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
  • The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,908.25+2.83%EthereumETH$1,658.89+2.55%SolanaSOL$65.42+3.15%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.06%XRPXRP$1.12+1.03%BNBBNB$600.47+2.88%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
  • Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
  • The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.