Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 65.4%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 3, 25, 7:23 AM UTCJan 19, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump's term?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by the end of President Donald Trump's current term on January 20, 2029, Syria officially signs the Abraham Accords, thereby normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel.
- Official confirmation must come from credible sources such as government announcements or reputable news outlets.
- If no such agreement is signed by that date, the market will resolve to "No".
- The Abraham Accords, initiated in 2020, are agreements between Israel and several Arab nations, including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan, aimed at normalizing relations.