Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastMontenegro 55.3%Leader of 18 outcomes
Forecasters
48
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.4 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMay 3, 24, 2:29 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potential_enlargement_of_the_European_Union
- Image as of May 1st 2024:
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which country will be the next to join the European Union??
- Manifold Markets prices Montenegro at 55% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which country will be the next to join the European Union? resolve?
- Which country will be the next to join the European Union? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
- How is Which country will be the next to join the European Union? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potential_enlargement_of_the_European_Union