What are the current odds for Which country will be the next to join the European Union??

Manifold Markets prices Montenegro at 55.5% as of October 28, 2026.

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Which country will be the next to join the European Union?

Europe4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Montenegro 55.5%

Leader of 18 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Stale

May 3, 24, 2:29 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potential_enlargement_of_the_European_Union

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Which country will be the next to join the European Union?

Which country will be the next to join the European Union?

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Frequently asked questions

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Next French Presidential Election

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026