U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionHealth & MedicineGeopolitics1mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 94.1%
Forecasters
48
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleFeb 4, 25, 2:18 AM UTCNov 2, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve YES if any official U.S. federal government body or authorized representative announces a delay or suspension of the 2026 midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Resolution source: Official statements from the Federal Election Commission (www.fec.gov) or Congressional Record (www.congress.gov).
- Background The U.S. midterm elections are constitutionally mandated and scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Federal elections have never been delayed or suspended in U.S. history, including during the Civil War, World War II, and the COVID-19 pandemic.
- Resolution Criteria
- Market resolves YES if any of the following occur before November 3, 2026:
