Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBefore Mar 2027 41.9%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
21
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 3:05 PM UTCFeb 28, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026?
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PolymarketRules
New wave of mobilisation of personnel as rumoured by some telegram channels.
- Must be called "mobilisation" by the Russian government (possibly with extra adjectives") OR use the same legal structure a general mobilization would use as it's main legal background.
- This market resolves purely based on announcements/admissions by the Russian government.
- Elections are scheduled in Russia for September 20th and the rumour us mobilization will be announced after.
- Shorter time horizon (i.e. mobilization shortly after elections):
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/AIBear/russia-announces-mobilization-befor)Update 2026-04-07: the previous update was wrong.