Russia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026
One-OffRussia / UkraineGeopoliticsEuropePolitics2d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.7%
Forecasters
45
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJun 1, 26, 8:52 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Russia announces new wave of mobilization before June 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNew wave of mobilization in Russia announced when?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: October
PolymarketRules
New wave of mobilisation of personnel as rumoured by some telegram channels.
- Must be called "mobilisation" by the Russian government (possibly with extra adjectives") OR use the same lagal structure a general mobilization would use as it's main legal background.
- This market resolves purely based on announcements/admissions by the Russian government.
- I will not trade.
- Updates to criteria based on feedback welcome in the first 7 days of the question.
- Update 2026-04-07: the previous update was wrong.