Democratic House seats after 2026 election? (200-250, linear)
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms28dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 69%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 11, 26, 3:45 AM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves to 0% at <= 200 seats, 100% at >= 250 seats, linear in between.
- (2% per seat beyond 200.) Counting independents based on who they intend to caucus with.
- Senate version: @/EvanDaniel/republican-senate-seats-after-2026
