Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms28dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 53.1%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJan 11, 26, 3:42 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Democratic House seats after 2026 election? (200-250, linear)
Manifold MarketsRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketWill the Democratic party win more than 240 US house seats in the 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will this election map be wrong on?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will this election map be wrong on?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?
PolymarketRules
Resolves 0% at <= 45 seats, 100% at >= 55 seats, linear in between.
- (10% per seat above 45.) Counting independents based on who they intend to caucus with.
- House version: @/EvanDaniel/democratic-house-seats-after-2026-2
- Full range: @/Ziddletwix/gop-share-of-senate-seats-after-202
