PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
↓ 30% 59%+14.5ptLeader of 8 outcomes
↓ 30% 59%+14.5ptMarket quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.7K
Liquidity
$123.5K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 22, 26, 1:16 AM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
↓ 35%Won
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Democratic Senate odds on October 9?
PolymarketRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?
PolymarketRepublican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)
Manifold MarketsWhich state will have the highest Republican senate candidate vote percent in 2026?
Manifold MarketsExcluding Susan Collins, will any Republican senate candidate get a higher percent of the vote than trump did in 2024?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds the listed threshold for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph.
- Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
- An hour in which the Republican Party's hourly odds value is below the listed threshold ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.
- Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for the Republican Party (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values.
