How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 70.5%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJan 24, 26, 9:13 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves PROB to the number of House seats won by the Democratic Party that they didn't win in 2024. >= 100 flips resolves to 100%.
- Counting independents by who they intend to caucus with.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 71% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100] resolve?
- How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100] is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves PROB to the number of House seats won by the Democratic Party that they didn't win in 2024. >= 100 flips resolves to 100%.