Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast>= 5 95.2%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
22
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 10, 26, 8:53 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many house seats will Democrats flip before the 2026 midterms?
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PolymarketRules
Relative to 2024.
- Counting independents for who they caucus with.
- Republican version: @/EvanDaniel/how-many-house-seats-do-the-republi
Open markets
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
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+39 more outcomes
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
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+45 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many House seats do the Democrats flip in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices >= 5 at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How many House seats do the Democrats flip in 2026? resolve?
- How many House seats do the Democrats flip in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is How many House seats do the Democrats flip in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Relative to 2024.