Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 59.9%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 24, 26, 9:10 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
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PolymarketRules
Resolves PROB to the number of House seats won by a different party than won them in 2024. >= 100 flips resolves to 100%.
- Counting independents by who they intend to caucus with.
- @/EvanDaniel/how-many-house-seats-will-the-democ-29Rtl8ZcQU
- @/EvanDaniel/how-many-house-seats-will-the-repub
- @/EvanDaniel/how-many-house-seats-do-the-democra
- @/EvanDaniel/how-many-house-seats-do-the-republi
Open markets
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+49 more outcomes
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+39 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 60% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100] resolve?
- How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100] is scheduled to resolve on November 2, 2026.
- How is How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves PROB to the number of House seats won by a different party than won them in 2024. >= 100 flips resolves to 100%.