How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms4dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 53.8%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 24, 26, 9:10 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves PROB to the number of House seats won by a different party than won them in 2024. >= 100 flips resolves to 100%.
- Counting independents by who they intend to caucus with.
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