Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast≥8 56.8%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 24, 26, 10:30 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
Manifold MarketsHow many house seats will Democrats flip before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats do the Democrats flip in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
PolymarketRepublican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketRules
A seat "flips" if won by a different party than won it in 2024.
- Independents count based on which party they caucus with.
- The 68 "competitive" seats are those in Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
- This market covers the remaining 367 seats.
- Model as of question creation: mean 16, ≥10 covers 92%, ≥20 covers 22%.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices ≥8 at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026? resolve?
- How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 2, 2026.
- How is How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A seat "flips" if won by a different party than won it in 2024.
