Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast≥8 56.8%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJan 24, 26, 10:30 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
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Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
Manifold MarketsRepublican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketHow many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
KalshiRules
A seat "flips" if won by a different party than won it in 2024.
- Independents count based on which party they caucus with.
- The 68 "competitive" seats are those in Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
- This market covers the remaining 367 seats.
- Model as of question creation: mean 16, ≥10 covers 92%, ≥20 covers 22%.