How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
1.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
8 36.7%+1.0ptLeader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$50.2K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 2:12 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Michigan in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included.
- Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election.
- Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
- Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
- If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.