SmarketsCheck availabilityKYC requiredLimited verified dataData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Smarkets data is temporarily unavailable. Odds shown are the last values we collected on Oct 7, 2026.
Current implied probabilityRepublican 87.7%
Market quality
9 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$774
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 15 days ago
StaleTrends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate special election in Ohio?
PredictItWill a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 United States Senate special election in Ohio (to fill JD Vance's seat)?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2027 Minnesota Senate Special Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Jon Husted win the Ohio special election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Florida Senate Race · Republican 91%
- Also available on Kalshi — Florida Senate winner? · Ashley Moody 91%
- Also available on Polymarket — Florida Senate Election Winner · Ashley Moody (R) 91%
