PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Republican 88%+2.0%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.9K
Liquidity
$50.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
87.0% / 89.0%
Spread
2.3%
Tight spread7d Change
+3.0%
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Republican88%
Volume trend
$4.9kJul 211d of dataJul 13
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S.
- Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.