PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Ashley Moody (R) 91.1%
Ashley Moody (R) 91.1%Market quality
81 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$14.4K
Liquidity
$81K
High liquidityBid / Ask
91.0% / 92.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
8
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders.
- In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Ashley Moody (R) is 92%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Ashley Moody (R) 92% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Florida Senate winner? · Ashley Moody 90%
- Also available on Smarkets — Florida Senate Special Election Winner · Republican 90%