What are the current odds for Who will win the 2027 Minnesota Senate Special Election??

Manifold Markets prices Democratic Nominee at 94.1% as of October 21, 2026.

Who will win the 2027 Minnesota Senate Special Election?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Democratic Nominee 94.1%

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Lagging

Oct 6, 26, 6:46 PM UTCNov 2, 27, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

A Special Senate election will occur in November 2027 if Amy Klobuchar wins the 2026 Governor election, creating a vacancy in her seat.

Amy Klobuchar will be able to appoint an interim senator, however if they run in the election or just serve out the interim appointment, remains to be seen.
Right now it seems most likely the the named outcome will win, but if there is a strong independent or Republican push, I will add more answers.
If you think the the named outcome will lose, you can buy other right now.
Resolves n/a if no special senate election in 2027 occurs for any reason.