How many House seats will Democrats win in the 2026 midterm election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms2y
PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
230 to 233 50%Leader of 10 outcomes
230 to 233 50%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
$13
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 23, 26, 12:32 PM UTCDec 15, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the number of U.S. House seats won by candidates affiliated with the Democratic Party in the 2026 elections.
For purposes of this market, Democratic Party affiliation shall refer to a U.S. House candidate’s ballot-listed or otherwise readily identifiable party affiliation as Democratic on the day of the election.
For purposes of this market, Democratic Party affiliation shall refer to a U.S. House candidate’s ballot-listed or otherwise readily identifiable party affiliation as Democratic on the day of the election.
- For purposes of this market, a person switching parties on or after Election Day shall have no effect on resolution of the market.
Members of the House of Representatives who are "delegates” or “resident commissioners” not chosen by the people of a state are not included for purposes of resolving this market.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. - Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
