How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 44 · —
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Stored price
At least 52 47%Market line of 15 lines
At least 52 47%Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$41.2
Open interest
$41.2
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 44Spread
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Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Oct 31, 26, 2:00 AM UTCFeb 1, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 44
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
KalshiWill the Democrats hold 53 or more Senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats hold 56 or more senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Democratic Party holds at least 52 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 44
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 44 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 46
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 46 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 47
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 47 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 48
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 48 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 49
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 49 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 50 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 51
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 51 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 52 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 53
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 53 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 54
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 54 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 55
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 55 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 56
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 56 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 58
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 58 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 42
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 42 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 60
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 60 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
