PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 89%-0.1pt
Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$25.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
10.6% / 11.4%
Spread
0.8 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.8 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 7:45 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
- The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027??
- Polymarket prices No at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? resolve?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.