PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 10:53 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
No 88%
No 88%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$567.9
Liquidity
$28.9K
High liquidityOpen interest
$82.9K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
-2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleNov 5, 25, 7:45 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Egypt withdraw recognition of Israel by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel withdraw from Lebanon by ?
FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
- The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.