FutuurVerified resolution dataData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 9:19 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityDecember 31 19%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.2K
Low liquidityTraders
4
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
PolymarketWill the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Lebanon on?
PolymarketWill Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.1pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $29.9M
- 24h Vol
- $807.7K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Total Vol
- $8M
- 24h Vol
- $125K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $121.5K
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Israel withdraw from Lebanon by ??
- Futuur prices December 31 at 19% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Israel withdraw from Lebanon by ? resolve?
- Will Israel withdraw from Lebanon by ? is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2027.