Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleSep 12, 22, 7:30 AM UTCJan 2, 50, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel withdraw from Lebanon by ?
FutuurWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
PolymarketWhat sovereign state will the West Bank first be part of?
Manifold Markets🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱
Manifold MarketsWill Israel fully annex the west bank by 2045?
Manifold MarketsRules
This question resolves to YES if Israel (either civilian judicial systems or the military) has jurisdiction over less than 5% of the land area of the West Bank (as defined by the 1949 armistice) at any point before 2050.