Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleSep 12, 22, 7:30 AM UTCJan 2, 50, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This question resolves to YES if Israel (either civilian judicial systems or the military) has jurisdiction over less than 5% of the land area of the West Bank (as defined by the 1949 armistice) at any point before 2050.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050? resolve?
- Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2050.
- How is Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question resolves to YES if Israel (either civilian judicial systems or the military) has jurisdiction over less than 5% of the land area of the West Bank (as defined by the 1949 armistice) at any point before 2050.