What are the current odds for Will Egypt withdraw recognition of Israel by EOY 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of October 26, 2026.

Will Egypt withdraw recognition of Israel by EOY 2026?

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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:02 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

No 95%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Stale

Dec 23, 24, 10:05 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Will the government of Egypt withdraw recognition of the state of Israel before the end of 2026?

If Egypt withdraws recognition and then re-recognizes Israel, this will still resolve Yes.
In case of multiple competing entities claiming to be the Egyptian government, whichever is recognized by the UN will be considered to be the Egyptian government for purposes of this market.
I will not bet on this market.