PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
November 15 · —
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Stored reference
November 15 90%
November 15 90%Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$634.8
Liquidity
$5.4K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$2K
Bid / Ask
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November 15Spread
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Comments
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 22, 26, 8:25 PM UTCNov 16, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · November 15
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Iraq by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Jordan by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Oman by which date?
PolymarketWill there be another Arab Spring by 2035?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets an Arab country through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Qualifying Arab countries are as follows: Algeria, Bahrain, Comoros, Djibouti, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, Syria, Tunisia, the United Arab Emirates, and Yemen.
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at a qualifying Arab country.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.