PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
November 15 · —
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Stored reference
November 15 96%
November 15 96%Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$689.1
Bid / Ask
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November 15Spread
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Comments
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Market data
Updated 41 minutes ago
Oct 22, 26, 8:25 PM UTCNov 16, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · November 15
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Iran target an Arab country by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Jordan by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target the United Arab Emirates by which date?
PolymarketWill Israel attack Iraq in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel attack Iraq in 2029?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Iraq through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Iraq.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.