PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 10:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
November 30 · —
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Stored reference
November 30 27%Leader of 5 outcomes
November 30 27%Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$983.7
Liquidity
$1.8K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$5.2K
Bid / Ask
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November 30Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+12.5 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 18, 26, 10:48 PM UTCNov 30, 26, 8:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
August 31Lost
September 15Lost
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · November 30
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
PolymarketMohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia on?
PolymarketUAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
PolymarketWill Saudi Arabia and Israel announce the establishment of official diplomatic relations before the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Saudi Arabia through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Saudi Arabia.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.