PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
2026 · —
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Stored reference
2026 4%Leader of 3 outcomes
2026 4%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$18K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
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2026Spread
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Comments
26
7d Change
-0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Feb 13, 25, 11:08 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
2025Lost
June 30, 2026Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Market depth · 2026
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a country leave NATO this year?
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
- A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
- That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution.
- The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.