PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
2026 2%-0.6ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$25.1K
High liquidityComments
26
7d Change
-0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Feb 13, 25, 11:08 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a country leave NATO this year?
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
- A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
- That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution.
- The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
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+5 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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+17 more outcomes
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+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
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- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $109.5K
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
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- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any country leave NATO by which date??
- Polymarket prices 2026 at 2% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will any country leave NATO by which date? resolve?
- Will any country leave NATO by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will any country leave NATO by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Will any country leave NATO by which date? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur.