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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

1.0% (24h)YearlyPoliticsGeopolitics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 12%+0.0%
Market quality

61 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$13K

Liquidity

$17.6K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

10.0% / 13.0%

Spread

30.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-1.5%

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jan 7, 26, 10:12 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes12%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
  • The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
  • The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.