PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 86.1%-1.0pt
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$11.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 17.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJan 7, 26, 10:10 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Open markets
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Total Vol
- $64M
- 24h Vol
- $618.1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.2pt61%
- October 31+2.0pt39%
- September 3020%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt70%
- New People (NL)-1.0pt24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt24%
- October 31-2.0pt13%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIran full airspace closure by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt29%
- September 30+1.0pt13%
- June 30+0.3pt0%
+7 more outcomes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will Iran target an Arab country by which date?
- Iran invades Kuwait by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will BRICS add a new member in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 86% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? resolve?
- Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.