PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 91.1%
No 91.1%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$325.8
Liquidity
$18.6K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$21.9K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
4
7d Change
-1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Apr 28, 26, 5:15 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 7:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
PredictItWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?
PolymarketWhich country will leave the 🇺🇳 United Nations in 2025–2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsRules
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
- Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 9%. The venue spread is about 5 percentage points.
CoinRithm reference 9% · 3 venues · 5 pt venue spread
