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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Commodities
  3. OPEC dissolves in 2026?
OPEC dissolves in 2026?

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

CommoditiesYearlyGeopoliticsMacro & Economy6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 8%
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$14.7K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Apr 28, 26, 6:04 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes8%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
  • - More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
  • - An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
  • - OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.

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Will Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?

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How high will gas prices in California get this year?

How high will gas prices in California get this year?

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Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?

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Yes: 52.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,607.99+1.74%EthereumETH$1,652.11+1.38%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.90%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.14%HyperliquidHYPE$54.97-2.35%XRPXRP$1.12-0.23%

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
  • - More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
  • - An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
  • - OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.