PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 7%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
16.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Apr 28, 26, 6:02 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes7%
Volume trend
$5Jul 217d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- - More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- - An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- - OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.