FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 85%
No 85%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.4K
Low liquidityTraders
5
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
PredictItWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsWill any country leave NATO in 2026?
FutuurRules
This event predicts whether any member country will formally announce its withdrawal from the OPEC or OPEC+ alliance by December 31, 2026 (inclusive), after the United Arab Emirates’ exit from this group.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or statements by the withdrawing country or by OPEC confirming a member’s departure.
- If any country officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC or OPEC+ during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary non-compliance with production quotas, disputes, or informal statements will not count as a departure.
- If official announcements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international energy news organizations.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 15%. The venue spread is about 6 percentage points.
CoinRithm reference 15% · 2 venues · 6 pt venue spread
