What is the next country to leave NATO?
Geopolitics
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 33%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleNov 12, 23, 3:14 PM UTCNov 19, 52, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization) is an international military alliance consisting of 31 member states from Europe and North America.
- This market will resolve as soon as at least one of the existing NATO members leaves (or is kicked off) the alliance.
- On market's creation date, November 12 2023, the member states of NATO were: Albania, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Turkey, United Kingdom, the named outcome.
- If more than one country leaves NATO at the same time, the resolution will split among them.