Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.8%
Forecasters
41
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 46 minutes ago
LaggingFeb 17, 25, 3:43 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRules
resolves YES if the USA formally files whatever legal and diplomatic paperwork necessary to formally leave the defensive union. this will not resolve NO for an announcement of intention.