PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 96%
No 96%Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$158.9
Liquidity
$32.2K
High liquidityOpen interest
$63.3K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
13
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Mar 13, 26, 5:26 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?
Manifold MarketsUS military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran strike US military base at least once before November?
Manifold MarketsWill the US military control at least ten percent of Iran by area at any point during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI stick to its commitment to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military using its AI by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
