PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 100-110k
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, 2:47 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
100-110k100%
<80k0%
80-90k0%
90-100k0%
110-120k0%
120k+0%
100-110kWon
<80kLost
80-90kLost
90-100kLost
110-120kLost
120k+Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026
- This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.