Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97.4%
Forecasters
39
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 26, 1:30 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Iran Nuke before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PolymarketRules
Trump's rhetoric has had many commentators wondering if use of nuclear weapons is in the cards:
- [image]Any use of nuclear weapons in Iran by the US military while Trump is president will result in this market being resolved as YES.
- Otherwise NO.
